History · 200 BC – AD 135
Jewish Messianic Expectation Before and After AD 70
Central question: What did Jews in the Second Temple and early rabbinic periods actually expect a 'messiah' to be and do?
Where scholarship stands
Broad agreement (John J. Collins, James Charlesworth, N.T. Wright) that messianic hope was real and textually attested well before Jesus, that it took multiple forms, and that a suffering, dying, and rising messiah was a category virtually nowhere anticipated — making the Christian claim a genuine innovation requiring explanation rather than a simple fulfillment of an agreed script.
Overview
The Hebrew term mashiach ('anointed one') originally described kings, priests, and sometimes prophets consecrated by anointing, without necessarily implying an end-time deliverer. Only gradually, especially after the trauma of exile and the loss of Davidic kingship, did some texts (Isaiah's later chapters, Jeremiah 23, Ezekiel 34 and 37) develop hope for a future, idealized Davidic ruler who would restore Israel's fortunes. This hope was not evenly distributed across Israelite and later Jewish literature; many texts show no interest in a personal messianic figure at all, expecting instead direct divine intervention.
By the Second Temple period the picture diversifies sharply. The Psalms of Solomon (mid-1st century BC) envisions a militarily and morally potent Davidic king who purges Jerusalem of Gentile occupiers. The Dead Sea Scrolls attest expectation of two messiahs at Qumran — a priestly 'Messiah of Aaron' who outranks a royal 'Messiah of Israel' (1QS 9:11; 1QSa) — reflecting the community's own priestly self-understanding. Other texts, including portions of 1 Enoch's Similitudes and 4 Ezra, describe a pre-existent, heavenly 'Son of Man' or 'my son the Messiah' figure who executes judgment, a rather different profile from a purely political liberator.
What is strikingly absent from nearly all pre-Christian Jewish texts is a messiah who suffers, dies at the hands of Israel's enemies, and is bodily raised before the general resurrection. Isaiah 53's suffering servant was read messianically by some early Jewish and later rabbinic interpreters, but rarely if ever combined before Christianity with royal Davidic messiahship into a single figure who both suffers and reigns. This is central to the historical puzzle: the earliest Christians did not invent belief in a coming Jewish deliverer, but they did apply the title to someone who had been shamefully executed by Rome — a move with no clear precedent, which is why Paul calls the cross 'a stumbling block to Jews' (1 Cor 1:23).
Messianic and prophetic movements were not confined to texts; Josephus records a series of would-be prophets and deliverers in the first century — Theudas, the 'Egyptian' prophet, and others — most crushed by Roman force, illustrating a live, socially dangerous expectation rather than an abstract theological idea. The final and most explicit messianic claimant of the period, Simon bar Kokhba, led the AD 132–135 revolt and was hailed by Rabbi Akiba (per later rabbinic tradition in y. Ta'anit 4:8) as 'king messiah' — a claim retracted by other rabbis after the revolt's catastrophic failure, showing that messianic identification remained a live, contested, and falsifiable category within Judaism itself, not a fixed dogma.
The debate for historians is less about whether Jewish messianism existed — it plainly did — than about how coherent or fragmented it was, and what that implies for explaining the rise of a resurrection-based, suffering-messiah Christology inside a Jewish milieu that had no ready-made template for it.
What the evidence shows
- • Jewish messianic hope in this period was real, textually diverse, and sometimes politically dangerous.
- • No single fixed template existed; royal, priestly, and heavenly figures all appear in different streams of literature.
- • A suffering-and-rising messiah had, at best, thin and contested precedent, making early Christian claims a genuine departure requiring historical explanation rather than a scripted fulfillment.
What it does not establish
- • It does not prove that Jesus fulfilled a specific pre-existing messianic job description agreed upon by all Jews.
- • It does not settle whether Isaiah 53 was read messianically before Christianity — that remains genuinely disputed.
- • It does not, by itself, explain why the earliest Christians made the interpretive move they did; that is the subject of the separate resurrection debate.
Timeline
c. 540s BC
Exilic and post-exilic Davidic hope
Loss of the monarchy generates literature (Isaiah, Jeremiah, Ezekiel) hoping for a restored Davidic figure, though not yet a fixed 'the messiah' title.
2nd century BC
Danielic 'Son of Man' vision
Daniel 7:13–14 describes 'one like a son of man' given everlasting dominion — later read messianically and influential on Gospel Son of Man sayings.
c. 63 BC
Psalms of Solomon composed
Written in reaction to Pompey's conquest of Jerusalem; Psalm 17 envisions a militant, purifying Davidic king.
c. 100 BC – AD 68
Qumran sectarian texts
Community Rule and Rule of the Congregation attest dual messianic expectation (priestly and royal) within a single sectarian community.
1st century BC – AD 1st century
1 Enoch's Similitudes and 4 Ezra
Develop a heavenly, pre-existent 'Son of Man'/Messiah figure distinct from a purely earthly royal model.
AD 6
Judas the Galilean's revolt
Josephus records a tax revolt with theocratic overtones, part of a pattern of prophetic and would-be deliverer movements.
AD 44–46
Theudas's movement
Josephus (Ant. 20.97–98) and Acts 5:36 both mention a prophet claiming to part the Jordan, crushed by the Roman procurator Fadus.
c. AD 30–33
Crucifixion of Jesus proclaimed as messiah
The early church applies royal messianic language to a crucified man and adds a wholly novel claim of bodily resurrection before the general end.
AD 132–135
Bar Kokhba revolt
Simon bar Kosiba is hailed by some, including reportedly Rabbi Akiba, as messiah; the revolt's failure leads to widespread later rabbinic caution about messianic claimants.
Sources & reliability
Every source carries a caution. An argument built on a source you cannot defend is a liability.
Dead Sea Scrolls, Rule of the Congregation (1QSa)
Manuscript · c. 100–50 BC
What it says: Describes a future meal presided over by 'the Messiah of Israel' alongside a priest, implying dual messianic figures.
Caution: Precise relationship between the priestly and royal figures, and whether 'messiah' functions as a fixed title here, is debated among Scrolls scholars.
Psalms of Solomon 17
Jewish · mid-1st century BC
What it says: Prays for a Davidic king who will 'destroy the unrighteous rulers' and purify Jerusalem of Gentiles by the power of his word.
Caution: A poetic, prayerful text, not a systematic treatise; its influence on wider Jewish expectation is inferred, not directly measurable.
Josephus, Antiquities and Jewish War
Jewish · AD 75–94
What it says: Records multiple prophetic and would-be deliverer figures (Theudas, the Egyptian, others) crushed by Roman authorities.
Caution: Josephus is hostile to these figures, calling them 'deceivers' and 'impostors', reflecting his own pro-Roman apologetic stance.
4 Ezra
Jewish · late 1st century AD
What it says: Depicts a messiah who will reign for a limited period before dying, then the general resurrection and judgment follow.
Caution: Written after AD 70 in reaction to the Temple's destruction, so it may reflect post-catastrophe theological adjustment rather than earlier mainstream belief.
Mishnah and Jerusalem Talmud on Bar Kokhba
Jewish · Compiled 3rd–4th century AD
What it says: Later rabbinic tradition reports Akiba's messianic acclamation of Bar Kokhba and other rabbis' skepticism.
Caution: Composed generations after the revolt; the historical accuracy of the Akiba anecdote specifically is debated.
Isaiah 52:13–53:12 (Suffering Servant)
Jewish · 6th century BC composition; reception ongoing
What it says: Describes a servant who suffers, is 'pierced for our transgressions', and is vindicated afterward.
Caution: Whether pre-Christian Jewish readers identified this figure as the royal messiah, as Israel corporately, or as a separate prophetic figure is genuinely disputed and should not be overstated in either direction.
Live scholarly debates
Was there a single, dominant Jewish messianic expectation before Jesus?
A coherent royal-Davidic core dominated
N.T. Wright
Wright argues most first-century Jews shared an operative narrative of continuing exile and hoped for a Davidic king who would defeat Israel's enemies and restore the Temple, providing the framework Jesus and his contemporaries worked within, even if details varied.
Expectation was genuinely fragmentary and plural
John J. Collins
Collins' survey shows royal, priestly, and heavenly Son of Man figures coexisting without resolution into one dominant model, and many texts show no personal messianic expectation at all, cautioning against retrojecting later Christian coherence onto the earlier evidence.
Did any pre-Christian Jewish tradition anticipate a dying and rising messiah?
No clear precedent exists
Joseph Klausner, Géza Vermes
Klausner's classic study of Jewish messianic idea found no pre-Christian text combining royal messiahship with vicarious death and resurrection before the general end; the combination is a distinctively Christian development requiring historical explanation.
The building blocks were available, if uncombined
Craig Evans, Martin Hengel
Evans and Hengel argue Isaiah 53, Danielic Son of Man suffering-then-vindication patterns, and martyrological theology (2 Maccabees 7) provided conceptual resources close enough that early Christians could plausibly draw on Scripture to interpret an unexpected crucifixion, without needing wholesale invention.
How should Bar Kokhba's messianic acclamation be read?
Genuine, near-contemporary messianic claim
Peter Schäfer
Schäfer treats the rabbinic tradition of Akiba's acclamation as substantially reliable, illustrating that militant, this-worldly messianism remained a live option within mainstream rabbinic circles as late as the AD 130s.
Later legendary embellishment
Richard Marks
Marks argues the Akiba tradition, recorded only in later compilations, may retroject onto the historical Bar Kosiba a messianic status partly constructed after the fact to explain and moralize the revolt's disastrous failure.
Further reading
- The Scepter and the StarJohn J. Collins — Standard scholarly survey of messianic figures across Second Temple Jewish literature.
- The Messiah Idea in Jewish HistoryJoseph Klausner — Classic Jewish scholarly treatment arguing against pre-Christian precedent for a dying-rising messiah.
- The Messiah and the Son of ManCraig A. Evans (ed., various essays) — Collects arguments for closer continuity between Jewish expectation and Christian claims.
- Bar Kokhba's Letters and Judean Desert DocumentsYigael Yadin (ed.) — Primary archaeological documentation from the revolt itself.
Ask about this period
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For further study
Primary and secondary sources on both sides of this question. Reading the strongest opposing case is part of the work, not a concession.
Christianity: The First Three Thousand Years — Diarmaid MacCulloch
A single, critical, non-devotional narrative of the whole tradition, including what went badly wrong.
The Rise of Christianity — Rodney Stark
A sociologist's account of early Christian growth, with the demographic arguments laid out.
The Myth of Persecution — Candida Moss
A scholarly challenge to inflated martyrdom narratives — a needed corrective to apologetic overreach.
Bearing False Witness — Rodney Stark
Historians' answers to the standard anti-Christian history charges (Inquisition, Crusades, Galileo), read alongside critics.